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Daniel B. Botkin

Solving environmental problems by understanding how nature works

  • People & Nature
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REVIEW OF Saving a Million Species: Extinction Risk from Climate Change by Lee Hannah (ed). 2011. Washington, D.C.: Island Press.

May 30, 2013 By Daniel Botkin 2 Comments

(This review was Published in Ecological Restoration Volume 31, Number 1, March 2013, pp. 99-100)(Copyright by the journal 2013; all rights reserved)Having begun research on possible ecological effects of global warming in 1968 and developing one the first major methods to forecast such effects on forests, I looked forward to reviewing Saving a Million Species, because … [Read more...]

Carbon Dioxide and Temperature: Who Has Led Whom?

March 4, 2013 By Daniel Botkin 1 Comment

As I wrote in my new book, The Moon in the Nautilus Shell, given the scientific complexities, one can only be rather agnostic about the role that human actions have played and are playing in climate change.  A new, important paper in the journal Science casts some fascinating light on the question of whether carbon dioxide change precedes temperature change, and therefore is a … [Read more...]

Now Available: The Moon in the Nautilus Shell

September 14, 2012 By Daniel Botkin Leave a Comment

Moon in the Nautilus Shell

The Moon in the Nautilus Shell: Discordant Harmonies Reconsidered From Climate Change to Species Extinction, How Life Persists in an Ever-Changing World Author Daniel Botkin’s “Magisterial and Beautifully Written” Examination of Our Role in Nature in an Age of Ideology [For Immediate Release] In a world constantly confronted by global environmental problems, establishing … [Read more...]

Global Warming and an Odd Bull Moose

February 15, 2012 By Daniel Botkin Leave a Comment

What one angry animal taught me about nature and its infinite complexities One pleasant June evening years ago, I took a break from ecological research at Isle Royale National Park and went canoeing in a large inlet named Washington Harbor, hoping to see some of the moose populating that isolated wilderness island in Lake Superior. Upstream, an old cedar arched gracefully over … [Read more...]

Absolute Certainty Is Not Scientific

February 8, 2012 By Daniel Botkin 1 Comment

Global warming alarmists betray their cause when they declare that it is irresponsible to question them. One of the changes among scientists in this century is the increasing number who believe that one can have complete and certain knowledge. For example, Michael J. Mumma, a NASA senior scientist who has led teams searching for evidence of life on Mars, was quoted in the New … [Read more...]

Some Basic Global Warming Questions and Answers

April 11, 2009 By Daniel Botkin 10 Comments

In 1968, I began scientific research on the possible ecological effects of global warming, and published my first scientific paper about this subject in 1973. During the same period, I developed a computer model of forest growth. Called JABOWA, it became one of the major methods in the 1980s and 1990s to forecast possible effects of global warming on forests and some endangered … [Read more...]

Freeman Dyson on Tipping Points

March 31, 2009 By Daniel Botkin Leave a Comment

A recent Sunday New York Times article features an interview with Nobel Laureate physicist Freeman Dyson, who expresses concerns about global warming and mentions tipping points. This makes a good companion piece to my post, Tipping Points, Global Warming and the Balance of Nature. … [Read more...]

Tipping Points, Global Warming and the Balance of Nature

March 31, 2009 By Daniel Botkin 7 Comments

Tipping points are in the news these days because some of the well-known scientists who are concerned about global warming keep telling us that the Earth --- the Earth’s global environment, that is --- is nearing a tipping point.  The idea is that the environment may undergo changes from which there will be no return; the Earth’s environment will figuratively fall off a … [Read more...]

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From Daniel B. Botkin, Ph.D

Daniel Botkin
I believe we are mostly on the wrong track in the way we try to deal with the environment. Everything I do, study, learn, and advise about the environment is different from the status quo. Throughout my career, I have tried to understand how nature works and use that understanding to figure out how we can solve our most pressing environmental problems.

My process over the past 45 years has been to look carefully at the facts, make simple calculations from them (sometimes simple computer models) and then tell people what I have learned. It’s surprising how rarely people bother to look at the facts. This has surprised me every time I’ve started a new ecology research project or work on an environmental issue.

In the course of my work and studies, I have learned many things and I want to tell you about them. That is the purpose of this website.

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Books by Dan Botkin

The Moon in the Nautilus Shell  Strange Encounters
Powering the Future  No Man's Garden
See all books by Dan Botkin

Jabowa III Forest Model


Jabowa Forest Model
Jabowa Forest Model for Windows 7.
This forest model, used around the world, was developed first in 1970 by Daniel B. Botkin, James F. Janak and James R. Wallis

JABOWA remains the most completely detailed and well validated forest growth model available, accounting for 95% or more of the variation in real forests where it has been tested.

The book Forest Dynamics: An Ecological Model (available as an eBook) provides a complete description of the model and the rationales behind its development.

Order Online

Sea Ice Study

The Bockstoce and Botkin Historical Sea Ice Data Study has a new home at the University of Alaska website. The data include more than 52,000 daily observations in an unbroken 65 year record from 1849 – 1914.

See related papers

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